Decomposing the effects of monetary policy using an external instruments SVAR

Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks with External Instrument SVAR

We explore the use of external instrument SVAR to identify monetary policy shocks. We identify a forward guidance shock as the monetary shock component having zero instant impact on the policy rate. A contractionary forward guidance shock raises both future output and price level, stressing the relative importance of revealing policymakers’ view on future output and price level over committing ...

Monetary policy transmission channels and policy instruments ∗

The Federal Reserve has implemented policies during the past six years that rely on channels of transmission to the real economy that economic models have assumed to exist but seldom tested or on channels that were simply presumed not to exist. I discuss the board channels of monetary policy transmission that may allow forward guidance and balance sheet policies to affect the economy. The assum...

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the Macroeconomic Effects of External Pressures on Monetary Policy the Macroeconomic Effects of External Pressures on Monetary Policy *

Central banks, whether independent or not, may occasionally be subject to external pressures to change policy objectives. We analyze the optimal response of central banks to such pressures and the resulting macroeconomic consequences. We consider several alternative scenarios regarding policy objectives, the degree of commitment and the timing of external pressures. The possibility to adopt “mo...

Identification of SVAR Models by Combining Sign Restrictions With External Instruments

We identify structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models by combining sign restrictions with information in external instruments and proxy variables. We incorporate the proxy variables by augmenting the SVAR with equations that relate them to the structural shocks. Our modeling framework allows to simultaneously identify different shocks using either sign restrictions or an external instrumen...

The Effects of Financial Innovation on the Instruments of Monetary Policy